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An Experimental Study on Real Option Strategies
2011
Social Science Research Network
We conduct a laboratory experiment to study whether people intuitively use real option strategies in a dynamic investment setting. The participants were asked to play as an oil manager and make production decisions in response to a simulated meanreverting oil price. Using cluster analysis, participants can be classified into four groups, which we label as "meanreverting", "Brownian motion realoption", "Brownian motion myopic realoption", and "ambiguous". We find two behavioral biases in the
doi:10.2139/ssrn.1534506
fatcat:6pg3ijzbizfmndzvvtbjnruk4y