International Journal of Education and Science Research Review A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF COTTON (GOSSYPIUM HIRSUTUM) IN TAMIL NADU STATE INDIA

Mylsamy Sundar, Rajan Malayappa
2017 unpublished
This study aims at presenting models for the forecasting time-series data of cotton (Gossypium hirsutum) Area, Production and Productivity of Tamil Nadu by using Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models of time-series forecasting. The cotton data for (1970-2013) area, production and productivity were forecasted to five years staring from 2014-2018. Presence of trend in data was checked through time series stationary through auto correlation and partial auto
more » ... ial auto correlation functions ARIMA (1,1,2), (2,1,2) and (1,1,3) model performed better among other models of ARIMA family for modeling as well as forecasting purpose.