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Increasing climate stress is likely to significantly impact smallholder farmer livelihoods, and can lead to divergent adaptation pathways. However, empirical evidence is inconclusive regarding how climate affects smallholder farmers' deployment of various livelihood strategies, including rural-urban migration, especially as these impacts become more severe. Here we use an agent-based model to show that in a South Asian-type agricultural community experiencing a 1.5oC temperature increase bydoi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-129931/v1 fatcat:q2azphsybfbdpi35jhirpg6nu4