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Disagreement About Inflation and the Yield Curve
2015
Social Science Research Network
We study how differences in beliefs about expected inflation impact real and nominal yield curves in a frictionless economy. Inflation disagreement induces a spillover effect to the real side of the economy with a strong impact on the real yield curve. When investors have a coefficient of relative risk aversion greater than one, real average yields across all maturities rise as disagreement increases. Real yield volatilities also rise with disagreement. Using the feature that nominal bond
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2693147
fatcat:qtxmvgm7qfagtnti3j2orpjbna