A Macroeconomic Foundation for the Equilibrium Term Structure of Interest Rates

Howard Kung
2013 Social Science Research Network  
This paper explores the term structure of interest rates implied by a stochastic endogenous growth model with imperfect price adjustment. The production and pricesetting decisions of firms drive low-frequency movements in growth and inflation rates that are negatively related. With recursive preferences, these growth and inflation dynamics are crucial for rationalizing key stylized facts in bond markets. When calibrated to macroeconomic data, the model quantitatively explains the means and
more » ... ilities of nominal bond yields and the failure of the expectations hypothesis. JEL Classification: E43, E44, G12, G18
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2256328 fatcat:4scoosrgevgmrobxio4xsy6vyi