PERCENT ALTERATION ACCURATELY REFLECTS THE PROGRESSION, INTERVENTION AND ANY ABRUPT CHANGES OCCURING IN COVID-19 CASES IN A POPULATION

Prabir Chakravarty
2020 Zenodo  
COVID-19 (SARS-Cov-2) is fast spreading around the globe in a highly contagious manner. This article describes a method to monitor the spread of COVID-19 in the Indian population and possible effect of intervention on disease control. The effect of 'National Lockdown'/curfew imposed on the entire country by the central Government has yielded positive results. The 'percentage graph' was used to study the changes in spread of disease. It was able to detect early, the flattening of the curve after
more » ... intervention. From the percentage graph it was also evident that there was an abrupt increase in percentage of COVID-19 cases on 1st April 2020 & onwards which appeared as a spike in the 'percentage graph'. The significance of these changes has been discussed. Overall, the percentage graph reflected that there is flattening of curve post Lockdown & it also confirmed that there is no sign of 'community spread' of the disease among the Indian population.
doi:10.5281/zenodo.3770406 fatcat:la3x6murhnh2fl6mp7ztt5ju74