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The Oil Price-Macroeconomy Relationship: Does Persistence Matter?
2012
Social Science Research Network
The literature on the relationship between real output growth and the growth rate in the price of oil, including an allowance for asymmetry in the impact of oil prices on output, continues to evolve. Here we show that a new technique, which allows us to control for both this asymmetry and also for the persistence of oil price changes, yields results implying that such control is necessary for a statistically adequate specification of the relationship. The new technique also yields an estimated
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2185548
fatcat:lkyad6bvyffzjlduobya3jlpca