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Jumps in Equity Index Returns Before and During the Recent Financial Crisis: A Bayesian Analysis
2017
Management science
We attempt to answer two questions in this paper: (i) How did jumps in equity returns change after the 2008-2009 financial crisis-in particular, were there significant changes in jump rates or in jump sizes, or both? (ii) Can the performance of affine jumpdiffusion models be improved if jump sizes are larger, i.e., jumps with tails heavier than those of the normal distribution? To answer the second question, we find that a simple affine jump-diffusion model with both stochastic volatility and
doi:10.1287/mnsc.2015.2359
fatcat:vw2yymu7kjfejhc4fmomz4u3du