The Long Road to Countercyclical Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies

Brahima Coulibaly
2013 IFDP Notes  
Developing countries have typically pursued procyclical macroeconomic policies, which tend to amplify the underlying business cycle (the "when-it-rains-it-pours" phenomenon). There is, however, evidence to suggest that about a third of developing countries have shifted from procyclical to countercyclical fiscal policy over the last decade. We show that the same is true of monetary policy: around 35 percent of developing countries have become countercyclical over the last decade. We provide
more » ... nce that links procyclical monetary policy in developing countries to what we refer as the "fear of free falling;" that is, the need to raise interest rates in bad times to defend the domestic currency.
doi:10.17016/2573-2129.02 fatcat:lerxkig35vh2hfyecyez2ps6ty