Spatio-Temporal Classification and Prediction of Land Use and Land Cover Change for the Vembanad Lake System, Kerala – a Machine Learning Approach [post]

Parthasarathy Kulithalai Shiyam Sundar, Paresh Chandra Deka
2021 unpublished
Land use and land cover (LULC) change has become a critical issue for decision planners and conservationists due to inappropriate growth and its effect on natural ecosystems. As a result, the goal of this study is to identify the LULC for the Vembanad Lake System (VLS), Kerala in the short term, i.e., within a decade, utilizing two standard machine learning approaches, Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machines (SVM), on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. When comparing the two
more » ... es, SVM is classified at an average accuracy of around 84.5%, while RF is classified at 89%. The RF outperformed the SVM in almost identical spectral classes such as barren land and built-up areas. As a result, RF classified LULC is considered to predict the Spatio-temporal distribution of LULC transition analysis for 2035 and 2050. The study was conducted in Idrisi TerrSet software using the Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov chain analysis. The model's efficiency is evaluated by comparing the projected 2019 image to the actual 2019 classified image. The efficiency was good with more than 94% accuracy for the classes except for barren land, which might have resulted from the recent natural calamities and the accelerated anthropogenic activity in the area.
doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-581788/v1 fatcat:4t2qbzbxknaarjd6zlatu4jhx4