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Fiscal Austerity, Growth Prospects, and Sovereign CDS Spreads: The Eurozone and Beyond
2013
Social Science Research Network
ABSCTRAT This paper applies both conventional panel data models and a dynamic simultaneous equations model to analyze the impact of fiscal austerity and growth prospects along with other macro fundamentals on the pricing of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) for a panel of 36 countries including the Eurozone. We find that austerity practice generally leads to an expectation of improved fiscal situations, which tends to help the CDS market grow more confidence in indebted sovereigns' ability
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2351569
fatcat:bdy42a3q5vad5f46fvoqjyuczu