OUP accepted manuscript

2019 The Review of financial studies  
Cryptocurrencies are among the largest unregulated markets in the world. We find that approximately one-quarter of bitcoin users are involved in illegal activity. We estimate that around $76 billion of illegal activity per year involve bitcoin (46% of bitcoin transactions), which is close to the scale of the U.S. and European markets for illegal drugs. The illegal share of bitcoin activity declines with mainstream interest in bitcoin and with the emergence of more opaque cryptocurrencies. The
more » ... chniques developed in this paper have applications in cryptocurrency surveillance. Our findings suggest that cryptocurrencies are transforming the black markets by enabling "black e-commerce." (JEL G18, O31, O32, O33)
doi:10.1093/rfs/hhz015 fatcat:frwukdr6ezbdlcir2f2cv3fwj4