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Oil Price Shock and its Impact on the Macroeconomic Variables of Pakistan: A Structural Vector Autoregressive Approach
2017
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
This study examines the dynamic effects of the oil price shocks on the key macroeconomic variables of Pakistan. A Structural Vector Autoregressive model is used on yearly data from 1960 to 2014. The impulse response functions indicate that the oil price shocks depress the real gross domestic product while the real exchange rate also experiences depreciation. However, the long-term interest rate and the inflation rate rise as a result of a positive oil price shock. The unanticipated changes in
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