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Comparing Simple Forecasting Methods and Complex Methods: A Frame of Forecasting Competition
2018
Scientific Annals of Economics and Business
The gross capital formation (GCF), which helps to gradually increase GDP itself, is financed by domestic savings (DS) in both developed and developing countries. Therefore, forecasting GCF is the key subject to the economists' decisions making. In this study, I use simple forecasting methods, namely dynamic relation model called "Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL)", and complex methods such as Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) method and ARIMA-ANFIS method to determine
doi:10.2478/saeb-2018-0010
fatcat:62rj6y7jrrez7gjqifglg6a3wm