A generalised Bayes' factor formula for evidence evaluation under activity level propositions: variations around a fibres scenario

Franco Taroni, Paolo Garbolino, Colin Aitken
2021 Forensic Science International  
Generalised Bayes' factors and associated Bayesian networks are developed for the transfer of extrinsic evidence at the activity level, developments that extend previous work on activity level evaluation. A strategy for the assessment of extrinsic evidence is developed in stages with progressive increases in complexity. The final development is illustrated with an example involving fibres from clothing. This provides a list of factors involved in the consideration of a transfer case with
more » ... y level propositions and their roles in the determination of evidential value.
doi:10.1016/j.forsciint.2021.110750 pmid:33784544 fatcat:wxpqzueckbevtfq535xvtxomve