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Bayesian curve-fitting with free-knot splines
2001
Biometrika
S We describe a Bayesian method, for fitting curves to data drawn from an exponential family, that uses splines for which the number and locations of knots are free parameters. The method uses reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo to change the knot configurations and a locality heuristic to speed up mixing. For nonnormal models, we approximate the integrated likelihood ratios needed to compute acceptance probabilities by using the Bayesian information criterion, , under priors that
doi:10.1093/biomet/88.4.1055
fatcat:2p22dbgtmnh6lj4w5jgtfl674m