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We conduct an expert elicitation of 25 UK energy experts from academia, industry and government. We obtained expert beliefs for six national and international drivers of energy demand. A linear pool of expert beliefs on oil price in 2030 is insensitive to correlation between the experts. Experts agree on dependence structure of energy uncertainties, but individual assessments of future values exhibit variation. a b s t r a c t Critical energy policy decisions rely on expert assessments of keydoi:10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.110 fatcat:ul3klcfrova6dml676bnaukuoe