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Did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Create Jobs and Stimulate Growth?
2022
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Working Papers
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017 is the most extensive overhaul of the U.S. income tax code since the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Existing estimates of TCJA's economic impact are based on economic projections using pre-TCJA estimates of tax effects. I exploit plausibly exogenous state-level variation in tax changes from TCJA and find that an income tax cut equaling 1 percent of GDP led to a 1.3 percentage point faster job growth and nearly 1.5 percentage points higher GDP growth. The impact
doi:10.24149/wp2001r1
fatcat:r4ksbfuw5varzavl2v2xlmpqsy