Study on the Policy Effect of Beijing-Tianjin Industrial Transfer on the Development of Hebei—Based on Empirical Analysis of Regression Discontinuity

Zhihui Lu, Hongmei Wang
2019 IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environment  
Based on the panel data of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei from 2004 to 2016 and the obvious changes of the industrial transfer caused by the policy coordinating development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei as a national strategy in 2014, this paper makes a regression discontinuity on the exogenous impact of the policy on the development in Hebei. The results show that: Firstly, in 2015, the amount of industrial transfer from Beijing-Tianjin to Hebei has increased nearly three times than that of 2014.
more » ... ly, the contribution rates of the policy to the increase of per capital gross regional product and rural per capita net income are 47.8% and 62.3% respectively. Thirdly, the policy has different effects on different regions, the central and eastern areas of Hebei are the most policy-sensitive which made the Theil of these areas fall by 0.1%.
doi:10.1088/1755-1315/332/2/022053 fatcat:yliplcz6yncgddxvykvi22dlny