On the Complexity of Causal Models

B. R. Gaines
1976 IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics  
It is argued that principle of causality is fundamental to human thinking, and it has been observed experimentally that this assumption leads to complex hypothesis formation by human subjects attempting to solve comparatively simple problems involving acausal randomly generated events. This correspondence provides an automata-theoretic explanation of this phenomenon by analyzing the performance of an optimal modeler observing the behaviour of a system and forming a minimal state model of it.
doi:10.1109/tsmc.1976.5408397 fatcat:gepzthwn5vcx5m7httjiyabake