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Using Initialized Hindcasts to Assess Simulations of 1970–2009 Equatorial Pacific SST, Zonal Wind Stress, and Surface Flux Trends
2014
Journal of Climate
Initialized decadal hindcasts are used to assess simulations of 1970-2009 equatorial Pacific SST, zonal wind stress, and surface flux trends. Initialized hindcasts are useful to assess how well the models simulate observed trends, as well as how simulations of observed trends (due primarily to natural variability) differ from ensemble-mean forecasted trends (due to the response to an increase in external forcing). All models forecast a statistically significant warming trend in both the
doi:10.1175/jcli-d-13-00709.1
fatcat:jqxcg7hwkfburhk3rn6qvkc7r4