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Does Uncertainty Matter for Trade - Economic Growth Nexus in Indonesia?
2021
Economics and Finance in Indonesia
This paper aims to test the impact of uncertainty on the causal relationship among exports, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia. The relationship is constructed by examining the presence of FDI-adjusted exports and imports (trade) and the output link using conditional variances-covariances derived from the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) process in a vector error correction model (VEC-GARCH model). Using evidence in Indonesia, the model exposes the
doi:10.47291/efi.v67i1.933
fatcat:fvfrxsokkbaiheqr5qrgtpx24e