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A regional compound Poisson process for hurricane and tropical storm damage
[article]
2016
arXiv
pre-print
In light of intense hurricane activity along the U.S. Atlantic coast, attention has turned to understanding both the economic impact and behaviour of these storms. The compound Poisson-lognormal process has been proposed as a model for aggregate storm damage, but does not shed light on regional analysis since storm path data are not used. In this paper, we propose a fully Bayesian regional prediction model which uses conditional autoregressive (CAR) models to account for both storm paths and
arXiv:1602.03940v1
fatcat:cg5dnalghnhu3ipexrzoiss5au