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Seroprevalence and attainment of herd immunity against SARS CoV-2: A modelling study
Objective: The present study is aims to predict the likelihood of and likely time required to attain herd immunity against COVID-19 in New Delhi due to natural infection. Method: An ODE based mathematical model was constructed by extending the classical SEIR model to predict the seroprevalence rate in Delhi. We estimated the parameter values for Delhi using available data (reported cases and the seroprevalence rate) and used them for future prediction. We also attempted to capture the changesdoi:10.1101/2021.01.22.21250328 fatcat:ud2cedugjjfzzflud4c6zbrmbe