Stochastic Root Finding and Efficient Estimation of Convex Risk Measures

Jörn Dunkel, Stefan Weber
2010 Operations Research  
Reliable risk measurement is a key problem for financial institutions and regulatory authorities. The current industry standard Value-at-Risk has several deficiencies. Improved risk measures have been suggested and analyzed in the recent literature, but their computational implementation has largely been neglected so far. We propose and investigate stochastic approximation algorithms for the convex risk measure Utility-Based Shortfall Risk. Our approach combines stochastic root-finding schemes
more » ... ith importance sampling. We prove that the resulting Shortfall Risk estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal, and provide formulas for confidence intervals. The performance of the proposed algorithms is tested numerically. We finally apply our techniques to the Normal Copula Model, which is also known as the industry model CreditMetrics. This provides guidance for future implementations in practice.
doi:10.1287/opre.1090.0784 fatcat:jeqsl7bbtbaefkg4uof5faflq4