Rain rules for limited overs cricket and probabilities of victory

Preston, Jonathan Thomas
2002 Statistician (London. Print)  
The paper discusses the properties of a rule for adjusting scores in limited overs cricket matches so as to preserve probabilities of victory across rain interruptions. Such a rule is argued to be attractive on grounds of fairness, intelligibility and tactical neutrality. Comparison with other rules also o¤ers a useful way of assessing the way in which application of such rules will a¤ect the fortunes of teams in rain-a¤ected games. Simulations based on an estimated parametrisation of dismissal
more » ... sation of dismissal hazards and on numerical dynamic programming methods are used to compare a probability preserving rule with the now widely used Duckworth-Lewis method.
doi:10.1111/1467-9884.00311 fatcat:zo4mhmtczzhmxb6hmir6dqdgk4