The article presents a method for predicting the result of submitted applications to scientific tenders, based on the criteria for their assessment. Statistics of applications submitted to external tenders from ITMO University was obtained through the implemented automated system for registering applications. This system performs the functions of forming a register of the organization's applications, and also allows checking applications for compliance with the requirements of the selected

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... r. For each application, the system records thematic information on the application, information about the its manager, participants and the result obtained. In the article the main groups of criteria for evaluating the application are identified, this groups have the greatest impact on applications effectiveness. To obtain characteristics related to the experience of the project team members, information on the projects already underway was additionally used. These characteristics were considered both separately for the application manager and for the entire team to identify the dependence of the influence of the experience of the manager and the team on the result in various tenders. The presented method can be used to forecast the effectiveness of the organization's applications.