What has been accomplished twenty years after the Oreskes et al. (1994) critique? Current state and future perspectives of environmental modeling in the Great Lakes

George B. Arhonditsis, Craig A. Stow, Yerubandi R. Rao, Gurbir Perhar
2014 Journal of Great Lakes research  
What has been accomplished twenty years after the Oreskes et al. (1994) critique? Current state and future perspectives of environmental modeling in the Great Lakes "...Complete [model] confirmation is logically precluded by the fallacy of affirming the consequent and by incomplete access to natural phenomena. Models can only be evaluated in relative terms, and their predictive value is always open to question. The primary value of models is heuristic..." [Oreskes et al. (1994)] http://dx.
doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.11.002 fatcat:japd3mrwureihnigjdz3t7yttu