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Decadal climate prediction (project GCEP)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Decadal prediction uses climate models forced by changing greenhouse gases, as in the International Panel for Climate Change, but unlike longer range predictions they also require initialization with observations of the current climate. In particular, the upperocean heat content and circulation have a critical influence. Decadal prediction is still in its infancy and there is an urgent need to understand the important processes that determine predictability on these timescales. We have takendoi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0178 pmid:19087944 fatcat:mhxyqfew65awjiqqt4ehmim7au