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Application of Bayesian Approach to Reduce the Uncertainty in Expert Judgments by Using a Posteriori Mean Function
2021
Mathematics
Much applied research uses expert judgment as a primary or additional data source, thus the problem solved in this publication is relevant. Despite the expert's experience and competence, the evaluation is subjective and has uncertainty in it. There are various reasons for this uncertainty, including the expert's incomplete competence, the expert's character and personal qualities, the expert's attachment to the opinion of other experts, and the field of the task to be solved. This paper
doi:10.3390/math9192455
fatcat:ml3cf4sewfabbefrhawlugb47m