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Splitting with weight windows to control the likelihood ratio in importance sampling
2006
Proceedings of the 1st international conference on Performance evaluation methodolgies and tools - valuetools '06
Importance sampling (IS) is the most widely used efficiency improvement method for rare-event simulation. When estimating the probability of a rare event, the IS estimator is the product of an indicator function (that the rare event has occurred) by a likelihood ratio. Reducing the variance of that likelihood ratio can increase the efficiency of the IS estimator if (a) this does not reduce significantly the probability of the rare event under IS, and (b) this does not require much more work. In
doi:10.1145/1190095.1190121
dblp:conf/valuetools/LEcuyerT06
fatcat:5mj6s2qc7fgrbogfmowchcgeyi