Time Series Momentum and Market Stability

Xuezhong He, Kai Li
2014 Social Science Research Network  
We propose a continuous-time heterogeneous agent model consisting of fundamental, momentum, and contrarian traders to explain the significant time series momentum. We show that the market under-reacts in short-run and overreacts in long-run when momentum traders dominate the market, which provides profit opportunity for time series momentum strategies with short-time horizons and reversal with long-time horizons. We find momentum strategies with short horizons stabilise the market while the
more » ... ct becomes opposite with longer horizons. The results provide an insight into the profitability of time series momentum documented in recent empirical studies.
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2400847 fatcat:5akw3fefjva4xmfzsht74heomq