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Modeling Macro-Political Dynamics
2009
Political Analysis
Analyzing macro-political processes is complicated by four interrelated problems: model scale, endogeneity, persistence, and specification uncertainty. These problems are endemic in the study of political economy, public opinion, international relations, and other kinds of macro-political research. We show how a Bayesian structural time series approach addresses them. Our illustration is a structurally identified, nine-equation model of the U.S. political-economic system. It combines key
doi:10.1093/pan/mpp001
fatcat:3krpqz4cpbch3bsx5kvz5zweje