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Nowcast Guidance of Afternoon Convection Initiation for Taiwan
2017
Weather and forecasting
Focusing on afternoon thunderstorms in Taiwan during the warm season (May-October) under weak synoptic forcing, this study applied the Taiwan Auto-NowCaster (TANC) to produce 1-h likelihood nowcasts of afternoon convection initiation (ACI) using a fuzzy logic approach. The primary objective is to design more useful forecast products with uncertainty regions of predicted thunderstorms to provide nowcast guidance of ACI for forecasters. Four sensitivity tests on forecast performance were
doi:10.1175/waf-d-16-0224.1
fatcat:kpec7nwt7bhkjmhpwnrh46t5gq