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Evaluating uncertainty estimates in hydrologic models: borrowing measures from the forecast verification community
2011
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions
The hydrologic community is generally moving towards the use of probabilistic estimates of streamflow, primarily through the implementation of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) systems, ensemble data assimilation methods, or multi-modeling platforms. However, evaluation of probabilistic outputs has not necessarily kept pace with ensemble generation. Much of the modeling community is still performing model evaluation using standard deterministic measures, such as error, correlation, or bias,
doi:10.5194/hessd-8-3085-2011
fatcat:mgac4h7xqvgwbl7ksqawg3mc6a