Simulação do Espalhamento da Influenza na Cidade de Cascavel-PR Utilizando Agentes Computacionais

Marcos Paulo Nicoletti, Claudia Brandelero Rizzi, Rogério Luís Rizzi
2013 Revista de Informática Teórica e Aplicada  
This paper presents and discusses the main results of a computational experiment in which the spread of influenza was modeled using SIRS compartmental model type, employing the approach of computational agents based models. There was a simulation of spreading influenza in a specific region of Cascavel-PR-Brazil, covering part of three quarters. In this environment, 4653 agents of six distinct types, babies, children, teenagers, adults and seniors, interacted with each other. Each agent has
more » ... Each agent has specific behaviors regarding the environment movement, for study, work, leisure or residential stay. Transmission of the disease occurs when there is proper contact between infected and susceptible individuals. The main results show that the model is conservative, their results are consistent with those presented in the literature and the connections and mobility of individuals strongly influences the transmission, distribution and support or not the disease. The monitoring of the simulation process involving the spatiotemporal dynamics allowed us to infer relationships associated with the simulated environment. Analyses were performed from results and have already started work aiming to map and better characterize the city and to validate the model using data provided by the department responsible for health in the city of Cascavel.
doi:10.22456/2175-2745.29997 fatcat:2jxoojwfpbdcfnj4gcxwv76454