Based on ODE and ARIMA Modeling for the population of China

Xiaohua Hu, Min Yu
2013 Technology and Investment  
The economic data usually can be also composed into a deterministic part and a random part. We establish ordinary differential equations (ODE) model for the deterministic part from a purely mathematical point of view, via the principle of integral and difference, establishing ( ) ARIMA p d q , , model for the random part, to combine the two established models to predict and control the original series, then we apply the method to study the population of China from 1978 to 2007, establishing the
more » ... 7, establishing the corresponding mathematical model, to obtain the forecast data of the population of China in 2008(1.3879503 billion), finally we make further stability analysis.
doi:10.4236/ti.2013.41b006 fatcat:dnfw6hllpnhsxi3no362tekdvm