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Macroeconomic Regimes, Technological Shocks and Employment Dynamics
2016
Social Science Research Network
In this work we investigate the interrelations among technology, output and employment in the different states of the U.S. economy (recessions vs. expansions). More precisely, we estimate different threshold vector autoregression (TVAR) models with TFP, hours, and GDP, employing the latter as threshold variable, and we assess the ensuing generalized impulse responses of GDP and hours as to TFP shocks. We find that positive productivity shocks, while spurring GDP growth, display a negative
doi:10.2139/ssrn.2786541
fatcat:rgnazy73ofd5djuu7bk6ebgune