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Climate variability and change are risk factors for climate sensitive activities such as agriculture. Managing these risks requires "climate knowledge", i.e. a sound understanding of causes and consequences of climate variability and knowledge of potential management options that are suitable in light of the climatic risks posed. Often such information about prognostic variables (e.g. yield, rainfall, runoff) is provided in probabilistic terms (e.g. via cumulative distribution functions, CDF),doi:10.5194/adgeo-6-211-2006 fatcat:kslyjt6curct5oa4uwcftymnvq