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The election of U.S. President Donald J. Trump has taken everyone by surprise, including Trump himself. Commentators initially expected him to be merely a flash in the pan, attracting attention but not a sustainable, serious contender. When he became the forerunner in the Republican primaries, the conventional wisdom was that he would be handily defeated when the field narrowed to a manageable number, certainly when he faced a "regular" Republican.doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.4667536 fatcat:hjti7glhs5gk3o4i4bpbeqsytm