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The Value of Waiting to Invest
[report]
1982
unpublished
This paper studies the optimal timing of investment in an irreversible project where the benefits from the project and the investment cost follow continuous-time stochastic processes. The optimal time to invest and an explicit formula for the value of the option to invest are derived. The rule "invest if benefits exceed costs" does not properly account for the option value of waiting. Simulations show that this option value can be significant, and that for surprisingly reasonable parameter
doi:10.3386/w1019
fatcat:sadioj3ivzeztgohsm7a2y4say