Forest vegetation in view of some scenarios of climate change in Italy
La vegetazione forestale di fronte ad alcuni scenari di cambiamento climatico in Italia

G Pignatti
2011 Forest@  
Forest vegetation in view of some scenarios of climate change in Italy. The study analyses the relationship between the distribution of the main Italian forest vegetation types and the conditions during average tem perature of the coldest month, at present and those predicted for scenarios A2a and B2a of the GCM HAD CM3 until the year 2080. With an increased average temperature of the coldest month up to 4.4 °C in 2080, current temperature values for the main forest species will change greatly,
more » ... ill change greatly, creating favorable preconditions for an increased presence of broadleaved deciduous species in mountain altitudes of the Alps, more termo philous broadleaved species on those of the Appennines and more Mediterranean species on lower moun tains, hills and lowlands of the country. The results are compared with previsional models of tree species distribution due to predicted climate changes, and the possible influence of some ecological factors is dis cussed.
doi:10.3832/efor0650-008 fatcat:4sgzyopjirdabijrir7fyg2r4m