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Quantitative assessment and forecasting of one or another hydrological phenomenon is important for estimation of vulnerability of natural riverside. Mechanism of riverside destruction by water is considered in the represented work as random process, which is depended both on influence of flow speed and on riverside resistance. As the indicator of this process against such influence is taken riverside characteristic -vulnerability, for determination of which is used a well-known model of thedoi:10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31 fatcat:eluxncxcljbojadyla7jm7kiqe