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A model is proposed to estimate the probability distribution of asset value based on the benefit effects as well as the risk effects of deposit insurance with the minimum cross-entropy principle. Three scenarios are constructed to depict situations with different dual effects of deposit insurance. The corresponding assets distribution functions are obtained accordingly. The results show that it is positively correlated between the supervision level and the risk aversion effects of depositdoi:10.4236/tel.2013.33a005 fatcat:flaanx2bcfdsvkbynjgshdggmq