Can Statistics Predict the Fields Medal Winners?

Adam Bannister, Olaf Teschke
2018 EMS Newsletter  
With the upcoming ICM in Rio de Janeiro, the seasonal speculation about who will receive the 2018 Fields Medals at the opening ceremony is once more in full swing. With the big data industry measuring us in all possible ways, a natural question might be whether statistical approaches could possibly predict the committee's choice of the Fields Medallists. We undertake some experiments here to see which predictions are provided by standard approaches based on data from zbMATH and linked data sources.
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doi:10.4171/news/108/11 fatcat:zjqwaqjn3rbkhhfuyzbflfazjm