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Which of several alternative population forecasts is the 'best' or the most plausible? In published work summarized here, we use Taylor's law (TL) and its quadratic generalization to select the best among six alternative projections (by Statistics Norway) of Norwegian county population density. We consider two time scales: long term (1978-2010 as the historical basis for projections of 2011-2040) and short term (2006-2010 as the historical basis for projections ofdoi:10.1553/populationyearbook2018s015 fatcat:fpknm4njovdalkwvpqvsx2epvi