Surges in COVID-19 are led by lax government interventions in initial outbreaks [article]

Hsiang-Yu Yuan, Lindsey Wu, Dong-Ping Wang
2020 medRxiv   pre-print
Sharp increases in COVID-19 cases occurred after reopening in the United States. We show that the post-intervention effective reproduction number is a strong predictor of the surge in late June. Lax interventions in the early stages coupled with elevated virus spread are primarily responsible for surges in most affected states.
doi:10.1101/2020.07.17.20156604 fatcat:ajzbslneqbfwbb73nlhfiwicp4