Extracting Climatic Information From Observations Of Icebergs In The Southern Ocean

Olav Orheim
1990 Annals of Glaciology  
Antarctic iceberg observations provide two types of climatic information: (1) the rate of iceberg calving gives the main negative term in the mass balance of Antarctica; (2) the distribution of icebergs in the Southern Ocean is related to various factors including sea-ice extent and ocean conditions. This paper discusses climatic information obtained both from modern iceberg observations, and from historical data. The main modern data source is the international iceberg observation programme,
more » ... itiated in 1981. This has generated a database which now contains observations of size and position of 150 000 icebergs in the Southern Ocean. Other recent data sources include observations from 1974 of icebergs of over 22 km length by the Navy/NOAA Joint Ice Center (which now total nearly 100 bergs). Historical sources include both scientific and commercial (whaling) expeditions. Three conclusions can be drawn from the recent iceberg data. (1) For the past seven years annual calving rates of icebergs less than 22 km in length have been approximately constant both in numbers and total mass, and have exceeded the annual mean mass of bergs over 22 km calved during the same period. (2) The annually-calved mass of gigantic icebergs of length over 22 km, has varied more than two orders of magnitude during the past two decades. The mass of calved gigantic icebergs alone exceeded continental snow accumulation in 1967, 1986 and 1987. (3) Mean iceberg calving rate exceeds continental snow accumulation rate. These results are discussed in relation to Antarctic mass balance and sea level. Historical observations of iceberg distributions in the Southern Ocean differ from recent observations by showing: (i) higher frequencies of bergs at lower latitudes, (ii) a larger proportion of large bergs, and (iii) a more uniform iceberg distribution throughout the region. Comparisons between past and present distribution patterns indicate that there must be errors, including exaggerations and selective reporting, in the historical data. Such observations should therefore not be used uncritically to make climatic conclusions. Bearing in mind the potential flaws in historical data there still appears to be real variations with time in iceberg distribution. These include higher frequencies of bergs at lower latitudes during the past century and the first decades of this century, than at present. Expanded northern range of the bergs would occur if one or more of the following conditions then applied: (1) calved icebergs were larger; (2) sea ice was more extensive in time and space; (3) ocean temperatures were lower; (4) ocean (wind) conditions were such that northward advection rates were higher. The importance of each of these conditions is discussed.
doi:10.3189/s0260305500009253 fatcat:p7nzurbkgbfltnk3i4pmoqtzpe