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The aim of this study was to simulate the vegetative development of the olive cultivars Arbequina and MGS ASC315 cultivated in Maria da Fé, MG, Brazil (22° 18' 29" S, 45° 22' 31" W, 1.276 m of altitude). The development of these cultivars was simulated in nine transplanting dates, considering three distinct scenarios for three periods (2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100). Climate changes influence the olive crop management. The increase in air temperature modifies the development rate and thedoi:10.1590/1807-1929/agriambi.v23n9p641-647 fatcat:zxazllojrjb7veuwjv6lvv4gbq