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Too connected to fail? Inferring network ties from price co-movements
2016
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We use extreme value theory methods to infer conventionally unobservable connections between financial institutions from joint extreme movements in credit default swap spreads and equity returns. Estimated pairwise co-crash probabilities identify significant connections among up to 186 financial institutions prior to the crisis of 2007/2008. Financial institutions that were very central prior to the crisis were more likely to be bailed out during the crisis or receive the status of systemically
doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.4488287.v1
fatcat:l7nmwi4tkngyhl4aw2q7tne3km